When working people think about AI 1 , what’s front of mind is clear: how will it affect our work and how will it impact our standard of living? 2
Predictions of the impact of AI on workers vary widely. Some foresee mass redundancies. 3 Others expect incremental shifts across industries. 4 Some anticipate economy defining boosts in productivity 5 and new jobs. Others predict marginal gains. 6
Some warn of surging inequality. As more tasks are automated, deskilled workers may be less able to command a good wage, with ever more wealth flowing to those who own the machines. 7 Others see the potential for workers to use generative AI as a tool to access new job opportunities, 8 while other forms of AI technologies may reduce hazards and automate drudgery.
The truth is: the future remains uncertain.
But one thing is clear. We know from experience that rapid technological advancement only delivers widespread social progress when working people are empowered.
Whether in the workplace or at the highest levels of regulation, workers’ voices, expertise and concerns should be a golden thread running through the UK’s approach to AI and innovation.
Doing so is the best chance to forge a positive path for AI and its impacts on workers, communities and society at large. A path that leads away from the prospect of unmanaged job displacement and entrenched wealth inequalities, and towards shared prosperity. A path that ensures public services are independent of unaccountable corporate power, and where the state protects the public from tech that exacerbates inequality and merely lining shareholders’ pockets.
A pro-worker AI innovation strategy for the UK should use every lever to shape technology towards good jobs, resilient public services and to drive socially useful innovation – for now and the future, at home and abroad.
This is complex work, fraught with uncertainty. While being critical of hype-cycles we must also recognise that today’s AI technologies are the least capable they will ever be. The UK has a duty to anticipate and manage change, not merely accelerate it. Failing to do so risks further straining the social fabric of our country, gifting the far-right fertile ground and undermining the political foundations of progress.
The TUC believes that a range of AI technologies can help build a better future. But that future is not inevitable, it must be actively built.
Fortunately, we do have the means to achieve this, including tried and tested tools to apply to new challenges. From the 19th century debates on ‘the machinery question’ to 20th century industrial automation, the labour movement was central to ensuring that technological change serves the common good, at work and in the wider economy. We intend to ensure that it does so again.
As the federation of 47 independent unions representing over 5 million workers in the UK, the TUC is calling for a step change from government to build a pro-worker AI innovation strategy.
Below we set out some of the key building blocks such an approach should take, identifying immediate interventions and next steps across the following areas:
2. Returning public value to public services
3. Securing a digital dividend for workers and productive investment
4. Pro-worker AI regulation and upgrading rights
5. Supporting workers during change
Please get in touch with Adam at acantwell-corn@tuc.org.uk to discuss this report or related issues
The UK has world-class scientific and technology research capabilities. These are supported by billions of pounds in public funding, through universities, public agencies and private sector partners. This system of innovation should be better geared to support technological development for good work.
UK Research and Innovation (UKRI) – a public research and development funding agency – received £25 billion in public funding over three years between 2022 – 2025. 9 In the June 2025 Comprehensive Spending Review, the UK government announced a package of funding worth £22.5 billion per year by 2028/29 10 for science and technology. A raft of other initiatives is in the works. The TUC supports such public funding for science and innovation, especially where the private sector is unlikely to invest. However, this research and funding can shape technologies that eventually may impact workers, positively and negatively - from self-driving vehicles 11 to EdTech. 12 Despite this impact, the innovation eco-system lacks systematic consideration of and participation from workers. This needs to be rebalanced.
Working with technologists, workers and unions can help steer the UK’s research and innovation towards worker’s priorities for automation,13 the development of high- skilled work 14 and the effective development of productivity enhancing applications, avoiding job cutting low productivity automation.15 16 These AI technologies may be ‘narrow’ and application specific, designed to reliably solve an identifiable challenge, rather than the current emphasis on general purpose Large Language Models (LLMs).
Working with technologists, workers and unions can help steer the UK’s research and innovation towards worker’s priorities for automation
With millions of members from the front lines of social work to nuclear power and transport, unions and workers can bring vital expertise, diverse perspectives and democratic accountability to the core of the UK’s innovation ecosystem.
Over half of British voters think the future direction of technology and innovation should be democratically shaped in this way, with input from workers, unions, and the public. This view is even stronger among General Election 2024 Labour voters, including those currently intending to switch to Reform and the Greens.17
Developments under the Biden administration in the United States offer a compelling model for embedding trade unions within the governance of national innovation strategy.
The CHIPS and Science Act (2022) formally established a role for organised labour within the National Science Foundation (NSF), a central institution in the US innovation ecosystem. The Act created a new directorate – the Directorate for Technology, Innovation and Partnerships (TIPs) – which is legally required to “incorporate a worker perspective through participation by labor organizations and workforce training organizations”. 20 The Act also mandated the creation of an advisory committee to the TIPs directorate, explicitly including “labor organizations and representatives of civil society.”
Reflecting this new mandate, in 2024 the AFL-CIO (the main US federation of unions) announced a landmark five-year partnership with the NSF. 21 The programme will build collaborative research initiatives where STEM researchers work alongside the unionised workforce, ensuring that future technological developments are inclusive, equitable, and worker-informed.
This will build on landmark projects at leading universities, including:
These programmes are under threat from the second Trump administration.
Public services are under pressure, and technology has a key role to play in driving excellence. But the challenge is not merely technical, but one of governance, diverse expertise and leveraging the unique position of the state to shape the market and drive high standards. Public sector workers are a key asset for this.
The public sector has been positioned by the UK government as a key driver of AI adoption, to reduce costs, reform public services and attract investment. 26 Procurement is a primary mechanism for this, with £14 billion annually in public money flowing to private tech providers. 27 This is likely to rise as the flagship policies in the AI Action Plan 28 and Blueprint for Modern Digital Government 29 are implemented.
The National Audit Office has identified the entrenchment of ‘Big Tech’ within public sector technology as a particular issue, with a small set of companies wielding market power to set terms and standards of AI technologies.30 If properly understood as critical public infrastructure, the embedding of AI systems provided by non-UK tech companies presents operational and political risks - advanced AI tech companies are increasingly key actors in the economic and geopolitical dynamics among nations. The dominance of such big players can also squeeze opportunities for domestically domiciled companies to grow, pay tax, employ local workers and play by the rules of the UK – all of which support the UK’s growth ambitions.
Initiatives by the government to support UK based SMEs to access public technology procurement opportunities are welcome. Increasingly, however, currently non-financial arrangements are being made outside of accountable procurement processes with Memorandum of Understanding agreements struck by the government with OpenAI, Anthropic 31 and Cohere. 32 The pursuit by tech firms to strike partnerships with governments is in a context where astronomical sums of money have been invested in LLM technologies that do not have a clear route to profitability or conclusive evidence of impact on productivity. 33
Years of austerity, fragmentation and outsourcing have undermined the public sector’s capacity to both develop tech in-house or to secure a good deal for the taxpayer and public service workers and users.
Where public procurement is deployed, the Public Accounts Committee has found that the government is not leveraging its massive buying power for technology.34
Years of austerity, fragmentation and outsourcing have undermined the public sector’s capacity to both develop tech in-house or to secure a good deal for the taxpayer and public service workers and users.
This extends beyond Whitehall, with public sector organisations unable to switch providers due to ‘vendor lock in’, and inappropriate or poorly managed systems bringing risks to public trust and service quality. This is starkly illustrated by individual schools negotiating complex contracts with tech providers in an unregulated market of unproven technologies that are then deployed in classrooms. 35
Worker involvement in procurement and general digitalisation processes can help address these challenges.
Millions of workers with commitment and expertise – from civil servants to NHS workers and teachers - have the experience to understand pain points, nuances of service delivery and effective design of solutions.36 Failing to use their expertise can reduce job and service quality, and leaves workers to find inefficient work-arounds to poorly considered systems 37 38 – such as the error-prone introduction of an automated system at the Legal Aid Agency as detailed below.
Proper training and meaningful engagement of workers, including via their trade unions, will also enable services to spot and flag potential harms or issues early on. UK public services should seek to learn from AI scandals that have happened in other countries. For example, the Dutch welfare bias scandal 39 and Australian ‘Robodebt’ case 40 that saw thousands of individuals wrongly or inappropriately prosecuted or sanctioned by the state due to algorithmically amplified bias in automated public services.
Empowering public sector workers to shape AI technologies will help to address the growing public concern about the role of private sector technology providers in sensitive public services. 41 Half of voters state that they would be more trusting of AI in public services if workers were actively involved. 42 This rises for communities with higher levels of distrust in public, 43 with 72 per cent of Black voters stating that worker involvement would improve their trust in the use of AI in public services.
The Legal Aid Agency processes fee claims from legal professionals for their work on legal aid cases. In 2016 a new system was introduced via procurement as part of a wider digitisation programme, including the automation of assessing and awarding payment claims made by barristers. Case workers were not consulted on the introduction and functionality of the system, and there were weak mechanisms to feed back on its operation and impacts on workers and other stakeholders.
Among wider significant disruption, it became apparent that the system had been incorrectly assessing claims, with a 19 per cent error rate (compared to 3 per cent for case workers) leading to costly overpayments, audits, corrections and revisions, as well as additional staff workload, disruption and dissatisfaction. A PCS union representative was central to identifying the issue and eventual resolution.
Source: Connected by Data
While the current evidence is inconclusive, AI technologies have the potential to bring about significant productivity gains by enabling tasks performed by workers to be automated and sped up. Workers must capture a fair share and gains must be productively invested.
Though still plagued by inaccuracies or high task failure rates 47 and other risks such as privacy or taking unwanted actions, 48 AI technologies have rapidly improved in a short period of time. The latest generative AI models can create high quality sound-enabled videos instantly, produce research reports and legal documents and code new applications. Agentic AI - systems that can sequence a full series of tasks - are demonstrating 49 improved capabilities. AI-enabled robots are increasingly performing high-dexterity tasks, 50 signalling impact for workers in a range of settings.
Many workers will have used these systems, including to their benefit to save time, or to leverage new skills and information. As the technical capabilities grow and AI systems become more formally embedded in jobs and workplaces, the key question is who will capture these gains?
If workers - individually and collectively - are to gain a share in productivity increases, then collective bargaining is a key means to achieve it. 51 52 Collective bargaining redresses the power imbalance between workers and employers, enabling workers to negotiate their fair share of the value created – most commonly through wages, but also through reduced working time, improved conditions and professional development opportunities.
The rights of workers to unionise and collectively bargain will be significantly boosted by the reforms within the Employment Rights Bill currently in parliament. It is vital that collective bargaining coverage is significantly extended to avoid an unfair distribution of the gains from technological development and subsequent deepening of inequality. This is especially true in sectors of the economy that are highly exposed to task automation, job displacement and harmful uses of algorithmic management but with very limited unionisation, from the low wage platform economy 53 to the professional services sector. 54
Along with extending collective bargaining, the current and potential impacts of AI also call for an urgent shift in how companies are managed. Current corporate governance law and practice is overly focused on shareholders, including remote and detached investors who too often prioritise securing short-term profits.55 This can lead to corporate behaviour that is without due concern for impact on the workforce or other factors, such as the environment. It also contributes to chronically poor private sector investment rates, placing Britain persistently as the lowest performer in the G7.56 A similar dynamic contributes to very low private sector investment for in-work skills development, compared to similar nations. 57
These issues predate the current wave of AI yet may be exacerbated. Short term priorities driven by our corporate governance system mean that AI may be used by some employers to cut costs and automate existing processes, rather than to productively invest, expand and innovate. 58 59 Such decisions will more likely displace or deskill workers rather than augment, expand or retrain the workforce as part of technological upgrading.60 61 At a systemic level, this may deepen the UK’s stark income and wealth inequality; 62 if machines do more tasks and reduce the demand for skilled workers or for labour overall, workers could become less able to command a fair share, with the surplus increasingly captured by employers and AI companies. 63 64
Collective bargaining and empowering worker voice are tried and tested approaches for addressing these concerns, and the need to leverage these tools is given renewed urgency by AI. Such reforms will also place us closer to peer countries.65 France and Germany have much higher levels of workers covered by unions with collective agreements 66 while productivity and investment rates far outstrip the UK’s. 67
Just a quarter of voters think AI innovation should primarily be driven by investor priorities, while over half the population support the role of workers and unions in shaping innovation. This rises to 65 per cent of Labour voters, 60 per cent of Labour voters considering switching to Reform and 70 per cent of Labour voters switching to the Green Party. 68
– Amend directors' duties to require directors to focus on long-term company success as their primary aim, taking account of the interests of stakeholders including the workforce, shareholders, suppliers, customers and the local community and impacts on human rights and the environment.
– Change 'employee' to 'workforce' in the Companies Act to require companies to report on their whole workforce, not just employees.
– Worker directors, elected by the workforce, should comprise one third of the board at companies with over 250 staff. 70
In 2024, the European-level union UNI Global and three major employer federations in the banking sector signed the first comprehensive sectoral AI agreement in the EU. 71 The declaration stated that “social dialogue at all levels, including collective bargaining, represents an effective and positive tool for addressing the issue of the impact of new technologies and digitalisation in the workplace.”
The agreement contained a number of key provisions around AI and workers. These include:
Human-in-Control Principle
The declaration establishes that "humans will be kept at the centre of work organisation, with full respect for the human-in-control principle." Specifically:
Training and Skills Development
AI Surveillance Limitations
Data Protection
Social dialogue and collective bargaining
Banks must engage in "continuous monitoring through social dialogue and collective bargaining" regarding AI implementation, use, and ongoing assessment.
Implementation Framework
The agreement operates at three levels:
Monitoring includes continuous dialogue through sectoral meetings and a full evaluation planned towards the end of the 2025-2026 ‘Work Programme’.
• A fair and productive tax system:
The potential impact of AI underscores the general and longstanding need for taxation reform to avoid a further lopsided distribution of wealth, avoid disproportionate tax on work and to encourage productive investment – this is recognised across the board, including by International Monetary Fund. 72
Wealth taxes should be part of a targeted approach to ensure the value from productivity is captured fairly and put to broader social use, and to ensure those most able pay their fair share towards public services.
Among other changes, the TUC is calling for the government to equalise the rate of capital gains tax with income tax, so that income not derived from work is not rewarded disproportionately.
Consideration should also be given to the taxation of excessive bank profits by increasing the bank surcharge that was slashed by the previous government.The tax regime should also be evaluated to consider effective means to incentivise investment in labour-augmenting rather than displacing AI automation technologies. 73
74
Inappropriate use of algorithmic management tools to monitor workers, allocate tasks, rewards and sanctions have a negative impact on staff wellbeing, productivity and industrial relations. 75 76 The regulatory system needs to be upgraded to protect workers and to leverage worker voice for effective and fair AI use.
Urgent action is needed to bring our laws up to speed so that people are protected from the risks and harms of AI-powered decision making in the workplace, particularly workers most exposed to AI harms due to protected equalities characteristics.
Employers and businesses will also benefit from the establishment of legally backed high standards of responsible use of AI, preventing a race to bottom of unscrupulous employers who exploit the current vacuum in technology-related rights at work.
Such rights bring added benefits beyond essential protections for workers. Evidence is growing that a strong worker voice is essential for effective deployment of AI and innovation in the workplace.77 Workers are the experts in the jobs they do. Workers understand the complexity of tasks, the nuance of on-the-job judgments, the rhythms of real workplaces - all necessary for effective AI uses. As with previous technological change, it is workers that ’give wisdom to the machine’.
Pissarides Review (2024) Workstream 2: Firms. Available at: https://pissaridesreview.ifow.org/workstream-2-firms
Workers understand the complexity of tasks, the nuance of on-the-job judgments, the rhythms of real workplaces - all necessary for effective AI uses. As with previous technological change, it is workers that ’give wisdom to the machine’.
The TUC has previously published a model AI and Employment Bill 78 which sets out a mechanism to translate widely agreed principles into concrete rights and obligations for high-risk uses of AI in the workplace.
As well as establishing basic rights and standards around algorithmic management, policy change is needed to recognise and reward the valuable role that worker generated data has within AI systems. This includes improving collective rights to access data, and the ability to exercise control over intellectual property.
Beyond the workplace, the broader regulatory architecture can adopt a pro-worker approach. Currently, all regulators are mandated by the government to promote or have regard for growth and innovation. For growth to be realised and shared by working people, regulators should also be mandated to embed pro-worker considerations in regulating technology and technology markets. This includes challenging the dominance of market players who set the terms and standards for AI technologies that have downstream impacts on workers (including the exploitation of creative materials) as well as the applications and infrastructures relied on by smaller businesses and the public sector.
New legislation to give force to the provisions of the TUC AI and Employment Bill 79 , including:
Enforcing rights and regulatory upgrades:
Unmanaged disruption to jobs, industries and communities is not acceptable and will have a disproportionate impact on certain workers. New thinking is needed on skills policy, taxation and social security to ensure workers are fully and fairly supported through transition.
Though uneven and faltering, there are already signs that AI is impacting jobs. This includes professions that until recently were considered routes to secure good work in core sectors of the UK economy such as law, accounting and the creative industries.
Software development is one such case: Microsoft and Alphabet have said AI now produces around 30 per cent of the code on some projects 91
, and Salesforce reports that AI handles as much as 50 per cent of coding work 92
. Each company has reported cutting jobs as it doubles down on AI, while TikTok is reportedly seeking to make 160 workers in Berlin redundant and replace them with AI.93
Debate remains as to whether the wider reported impacts on jobs can be solely put down to AI, as opposed to a mix of other factors or marketing hype. What is certain is employers’ intentions and expectations. A World Economic Forum (WEF) survey of employers found that 40 per cent intend to cut jobs by 2030 due to AI automation. 94 Taken at face value, the explicit aim of some major AI labs is to build machines that are ‘smarter’ than and outperform humans on most tasks. 95
However, the out-of-the-box technical capabilities of general AI systems are not easily transposed into the messy realities of the existing workplace and wider world. A balanced assessment suggests that a rapid collapse in employment is unlikely, but that different tasks, jobs and sectors are likely to be impacted in an uneven way. As certain tasks are changed existing jobs will also evolve, with some likely to improve while others risk being degraded.
Similarly, across and within sectors workers with different characteristics may be unequally impacted.96 Young workers face higher risks from the erosion of entry-level jobs, while women are disproportionately represented in lower-paid roles highly exposed to task automation. 97 Regional inequalities in employment may become further entrenched as AI adoption varies geographically.98 Concerns about this variation is reflected in public attitudes, with BME workers and workers in the North East of England more concerned about the impact of AI on jobs than the average across the UK. 99
At the same time - as with other technological changes - AI may help generate new opportunities, with predictions varying. But workers whose jobs are degraded or displaced may not be able to access new roles as they may have done in previous eras. For example, as London embarks on a government-backed self-driving vehicle pilot in 2026 100 the city’s 105,000 people private hire vehicle drivers 101 may be exposed to loss of work and income. The government estimates that 40,000 jobs could be created in the self-driving vehicle sector 102 , which leaves a numerical deficit as well as a practical challenge of job matching for displaced workers.
To avoid the disaster and long running ramifications of deindustrialisation, workers must be actively supported through change; for their wellbeing, for communities and the growing concern of the potential impact on the tax base.103 Central to that will be ensuring that government interventions focus on the creation of good quality jobs in areas where workers are at greatest risk, social security, skills initiatives and education.
The government is increasing investment through its industrial strategy, which is an opportunity to create good jobs especially in areas where there are skills shortages. The challenge is to enable people to access this work.
Recent initiatives mark some progress to address longstanding weaknesses in private and public investment in skills. In June 2025, the government announced a £187 million national skills programme 104
to improve young people’s access to digital careers, alongside the launch of a UK Research and Innovation-backed AI Skills Hub 105
focused on the construction, agriculture, transport, and creative sectors. The development of a Youth Guarantee to support young workers into opportunities is welcome.
Unions are uniquely positioned to help address the skills challenges facing the government, employers, and workers. Analysis by the OECD shows that in countries with more widespread collective bargaining, employers are more likely to provide training, leading to higher per-worker investment. 106
A key asset in this area is the Union Learning Rep (ULR). These reps are an effective and low-cost way to boost access to workplace learning, especially for workers who stand to gain the most from training and upskilling opportunities. ULRs use their deep industrial knowledge and unique insights into workers' lives - including those of older and marginalised employees - to help design more effective and inclusive skills programmes that support workers through change.
While the focus of official programmes is often on technical skills, the growing capabilities of AI systems also underscore the need to equip workers with a range of skills in collaboration, critical thinking and independent development of expertise.
There are emerging indicators that the use of LLMs to automate tasks may have the effect of inhibiting learning and skill retention known as ‘cognitive offloading’.107
A recent study in The Lancet Gastroenterology & Hepatology found that AI tools improved the accuracy of colonoscopies, but that routine use reduced the success of the clinician’s independent assessments when the tool was removed. 108
Relatedly, domain expertise and technical skills need to be effectively developed and maintained to uphold quality controls and manage failures from AI systems. This is particularly important in critical or sensitive systems where AI agents are deployed. The CEO of ‘vibe coding’ app Replit recently announced that people should no longer bother to learn how to code. Not long after, a Replit AI agent deployed by a company ‘went rogue’ against explicit instructions and deleted the entire database of the company and then created fake data in attempt to cover up the error. 109
In the medium and longer term, the potential for significant disruption requires planning for varying scenarios to support workers experiencing poor employment opportunities.
How AI unfolds across the economy is characterised by uncertainty – both technological and political. But by acting now to deliver the essential building blocks of a pro-worker AI innovation strategy we can improve opportunities for AI to benefit workers across the economy. This is not merely a technical challenge – it calls for a whole of government approach in partnership with workers and unions. There is an urgent need for government to both develop such an approach and to ensure it is agile enough to respond to change and new evidence as it emerges. Over the months ahead, the TUC will continue to make the case for a pro-worker AI strategy and welcome all partners who also seek to ensure technical advancements enable good working lives.
Please get in touch with Adam at acantwell-corn@tuc.org.uk to discuss this report or related issues
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