Child poverty in working households up by 1 million children since 2010, says TUC
The number of children growing up in poverty in working households is set to be 1 million (+50%) higher this year than in 2010, according to new TUC research published today (Monday).
The analysis – carried out for the TUC by Landman Economics – estimates that 3.1 million children with working parents will be below the official breadline in 2018, compared to 2.1 million at the start of the decade.
Kids with at least one working parent will account for two-thirds of children living in poverty in 2018.
Public sector pay restrictions and in-work benefit cuts
The analysis shows that 600,000 children (with working parents) have been pushed into poverty as a result of the government’s in-work benefit cuts and public sector pay restrictions.
The TUC says that other key factors behind the 1 million rise in child poverty are:
- Weak wage growth
- The spread of insecure work
- Population growth
- The increase in working families
Household incomes
The research shows the impact of public sector pay restrictions and in-work benefit cuts on household incomes.
The analysis reveals that:
- Families where both parents work in the public sector are the biggest losers from the government’s pay restrictions and benefit changes. Their average household income has fallen by £83 a week in real terms.
- Households where one parent works in the public sector and another works in the private sector have lost, on average, £53 a week.
- Households with private sector workers only have seen their incomes fall by £32 a week on average.
The East Midlands has been the worst hit region
The East Midlands is set to have the biggest increase in child poverty among working families (+76%), followed by the West Midlands (+66%) and Northern Ireland (+60%).
Thousands to march in London
The figures are published as tens of thousands of workers prepare to march in London this Saturday as part of the TUC’s ‘A New Deal for Working People’ demonstration.
The Labour Leader Jeremy Corbyn will address a rally in Hyde Park, that will also feature speeches by TUC General Secretary Frances O’Grady and frontline workers.
TUC General Secretary Frances O’Grady said:
“Child poverty in working households has shot up since 2010.
“Years of falling incomes and benefit cuts have had a terrible human cost. Millions of parents are struggling to feed and clothe their kids.
“The government is in denial about how many working families just can’t make ends meet. That's why tens of thousands will be marching in London this Saturday to demand a new deal for working people.
“We need ministers to boost the minimum wage now, and use the social security system to make sure no child grows up in a family struggling to get by.”
Estimated increase in number of children living in poverty with a working parent since 2010 (nation/region)
|
Region |
Number of children in poverty 2010 |
Number of children in poverty 2018 |
Extra children in poverty 2018 (000s) |
Extra children in poverty 2018 (%) |
|
North East |
70,500 |
112,000 |
41,000 |
58% |
|
North West |
240,000 |
341,000 |
102,000 |
42% |
|
Yorkshire |
209,000 |
272,000 |
63,000 |
30% |
|
East Midlands |
126,000 |
222,000 |
96,000 |
76% |
|
West Midlands |
189,000 |
312,000 |
124,000 |
66% |
|
East of England |
180,000 |
262,000 |
82,000 |
45% |
|
London |
353,000 |
538,500 |
185,000 |
52% |
|
South East |
252,000 |
372,000 |
120,000 |
48% |
|
South West |
166,00 |
246,000 |
80,000 |
48% |
|
England |
1,784,000 |
2,677,000 |
893,000 |
50% |
|
Scotland |
122,000 |
185,000 |
63,000 |
52% |
|
Wales |
112,000 |
152,000 |
39,000 |
35% |
|
Northern Ireland |
56,000 |
89,000 |
33,000 |
60% |
|
UK |
2,100,000 |
3,100,000 |
1,000,000 |
50% |
Source: Landman Economics Analysis and modelling for the TUC
Direct impact of government policy (public sector pay and benefit cuts on working households)
|
Household type |
Projected number of children in poverty in 2018 – if 2010 system had remained |
Number of children in poverty 2018 – as a result of government reform |
|
Public sector workers only |
218,000
|
321,000
|
|
Public and private sector workers |
181,000
|
236,000
|
|
Private sector workers only |
2,111,000 |
2,545,000 |
|
TOTAL |
2,500,000
|
3,100,000
|
Source: Landman Economics Analysis and modelling for the TUC
Weekly cash loss from in-work benefit cuts and pay restrictions
|
Household type |
Weekly loss (£) |
|
Public sector workers only
|
-£83.00 |
|
Public and private sector workers |
-£53.00 |
|
Private sector workers only |
-£32.00 |
Source: Landman Economics Analysis and modelling for the TUC
– The public sector pay analysis is modelled on real wages falling by 13.3% between 2010 and 2018 for workers in health and education. And by 14.3% for workers in public administration.
– The data provided by Landman Economics are projections of child poverty in the 2018/19 tax year. Landman Economics has estimated the impact of three further years of benefit and tax credit cuts, and the continuing roll-out of Universal Credit.
– The analysis includes all tax and social security measures introduced under the 2010-15 coalition government and subsequent conservative governments, including Universal Credit.
- The analysis uses the 2015/16 Household Below Average Income figures as its baseline. All figures are based on household income after housing costs.
- The 600,000 figure is based on the number of children who would be in poverty had the 2010 system remained.
– A household is considered to be in relative poverty if its income is less than 60% of median income after housing costs.
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